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add US Stock Market Outlook After 2022 End-of-Year Low
Prediction #indicator
#indicator Yield curve is now deeply inverted (2-year US Treasury yield - 3-month US Treasury yield is around -0.5%) now, the inverted level is same as what happened in 2000, 2006 and 2019. This is bond market signal of upcoming erarning recession due to weakening economy. Inverted yield curve systematically predicted earning recession, the only question is how long does it take for it to happen starting from now. Historically this time window ranges from immediately to about a year. So be prepared to reduce risk exposure soon.
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