Timeline Items with hashtag: 美国总统选举

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Published Feb 02 '24

美总统大选预测，这个指数最准确

Prediction #标普500 #美国总统选举据美国媒体指出，#标普500 指数是历史上预测 #美国总统选举结果最准的指标之一，它自1984年以来，预测总统当选人的正确率高达100%；如果将统计样本扩大到过去100年（亦即自1928年以来），这项股票指数预测法在22场选举中正确预测了其中19场的结果，正确率亦高达86%。这项预测操作规则非常简单：标普500如果在投票日前3个月的指数高于年初的水准，在任总统所属政党的候选人将会获...

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